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Impressions from HPC User Forum’s Market Forecast in Santa Fe

Written by Wolfgang Gentzsch | Apr 10, 2019 6:21:42 PM

 

 

 

When Santa Fe was founded by the Spanish in 1607, official records show that an inn or “fonda” was among the first businesses established. Since then, there has always been a fonda on the Plaza to host traders, politicians, celebrities, and travelers of all kinds. Last week was no different, 120 HPC leaders came together for the HPC User Forum, in La Fonda on the Plaza, a member of Historic Hotels of America and the terminus of the famous Santa Fe trail from Missouri to Santa Fe. Last weekend, when we arrived at La Fonda, we were greeted by a snow storm and about 30 degrees Fahrenheit. But during the conference the very positive HPC market trend warmed up our HPC hearts!

 

The reason was Earl Joseph from Hyperion Research, who presented the latest HPC server market data. He started with the worldwide revenue for the technical HPC server market which jumped for the full-year 2018 by 15.6% over the already exceptionally strong 2017 calendar year period, from $11.9 billion to $13.7 billion. The 2018 result was 6.2% higher than Hyperion Research’s original forecast of $12.9 billion figure for the year.

 

“Fourth-quarter and calendar-year 2018 HPC server revenue grew even faster than we forecast, helped by a robust U.S. and global economy,” said Earl Joseph, CEO of Hyperion Research. “We predict continued healthy growth through 2023, with some banner years for the Supercomputers segment as pre-exascale and exascale supercomputers are deployed across the world.”

 

A few highlights:

 

Hyperion Research forecasts that revenue for HPC server systems will grow at a 7.8% CAGR to reach $20.0 billion in 2023.

 

Leading the charge in year-over-year fourth-quarter growth was the Supercomputer segment for HPC with revenue growth of 31.0% to $1.6 billion, compared with $1.2 billion in the prior-year fourth quarter, and accounted for 41.9% of fourth-quarter 2018 HPC server revenue.

 

The Divisional segment for systems sold for $250,000 to $499,000 grew by 12.9%, from $587 million in the 2017 fourth quarter to $662 million in the 2018 fourth quarter, accounting for 17.8% of fourth-quarter 2018 revenue.

 

 

The Departmental segment, for systems sold for $100,000 to $249,000, declined by 6.4% in the 2018 fourth quarter to $1.0 billion from the strong 2017 fourth-quarter total of $1.1 billion. The 2018 figure represented 27.0% of fourth-quarter HPC server revenue.

 

Similarly, the Workgroup segment for HPC systems sold for under $100,000 dipped 18.7%, from $607 million in the 2017 quarter to $493 million in fourth-quarter 2018, representing 13.3% of fourth-quarter 2018 HPC server revenue.

 

You can find more HPC Market information in Rich Bruckner’s summary on the insideHPC site, as well as a short video with Earl Joseph’s forecast highlights. Also, you can access the presentations from the 2019 HPC User Forum here.